I was lucky to land a new job as an IT consultant for a pretty large firm. Consequently my poker playing has been put on the back burner. So no poker news, no vents, no rents, etc…

Last month was my third consecutive losing month. So I decided to drop down to NL25 6 max. I think that in the end I was playing scared money.

Today was a great poker day.

[img]http://www.WarRoomPoker.com/wp-content/themes/war-room-poker/images_in_posts/img_HM_2010-05-02.png[/img]

I lagged it up and I won 12 buy-ins!!!!!! I think this is the best I have ever done. Not in term of money, but in term of buy-ins, definitely this was my best pokr day ever.

EV adjusted says I should be down 2 buy-ins instead of 6. I put the money in as a favorite but I simply don`t win. It just incredible. FUcking incredible.

It`s incredible. Actually no, it`s unbelievable. My ev adjusted is at -23 buy-in for the last 100k hands or so. I run TT vs AQ and I lose, I call AQ vs TT I lose. I run AK vs AQ I lose. I have trips, my opponent has a boat, I have a set my opponent has a straight.

I just lost 11 buy-ins in exactly 563 hands. I check my EV adjusted and it should be -5 buyins. It`s not that I put my money in with donkey hands, it`s just that I am getting cooler after cooler after cooler.

This is insane. I`ve run bad in the past but never like this. And running bad makes me play bad poker.

I think I`ll drop a limit again.

Playing the 37k freeroll of RakeTheRake. 1700 entrants and 1000 left, 153 paid, first = 8k.

I was unlucky in the last pot but did not lose all my money.

When the 3rd diamond fell I just knew what the river would bring. And fuck it did it again.

I am so fucking tilted. I am running 21 buy-ins below ev and this shit continues to happen.

Tabarnak de colisse d’osti de criss.

Grabbed by[url=http://www.holdemmanager.net] Holdem Manager[/url]
NL Holdem $100(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,625)
[color=red]Hero ($1,105)
[/color]UTG ($735)
UTG+1 ($2,161)
UTG+2 ($4,904)
[color=red]MP1 ($6,005)
[/color]MP2 ($3,183)
CO ($610)
BTN ($1,705)

Dealt to Hero A:club: Kiamond:

fold, fold, fold, [color=red]MP1 raises to $250, [/color]fold, fold, fold, fold, [color=red]Hero raises to $1,105 (AI), MP1 calls $855[/color]

FLOP ($2,260)

TURN ($2,260)

RIVER ($2,260)

Hero shows
(Pre 74%, Flop 83.7%, Turn 6.8%)

MP1 shows
(Pre 26%, Flop 16.3%, Turn 93.2%)

MP1 wins $2,260

I never suck out. It’s a fact! No really, Holdem Manager tells me that for the past 100k hands, I am 21 buy-in below ev…

It is very frustrating to be that many buy-ins below ev. So fucking frustrating. The worst is when I see a fucking hand like this one:

Grabbed by[url=http://www.holdemmanager.net] Holdem Manager[/url]
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($50)
BB ($57)
UTG ($52.15)
UTG+1 ($50)
Hero ($63.25)
BTN ($136)

Dealt to Hero
Dealt to Villain

[b]FUCK MY LUCK[/b]

fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, fold, BB raises to $7.25, Hero raises to $23.50, fold, BB raises to $57 (AI), Hero calls $33.50

FLOP ($115)

[b]YES! FINALLY I SUCKOUT!!!![/b]

TURN ($115)

RIVER ($115)

[b]1 OUTERED. FUCK ME![/b]

BB shows
(Pre 71%, Flop 4.2%, Turn 2.3%)

Hero shows
(Pre 29%, Flop 95.8%, Turn 97.7%)

BB wins $112

I am a StoxPoker subscriber… What happened recently about Nick Grudzien (StoxTrader) being accused of cheating was very disturbing to me. Because I watched a lot of his videos, because Bryce Paradis defended him and put his reputation on the line, because because… I believed he was innocent.

A recent PTR investigation shows differently. There is a 47 pages PDF file that accompanies that article. I read it and even though I am not a math/stat guru I found it was very well written.

If you want just the cliffs notes, look at the last 4 pages of the 47 page manual. I would still suggest to read the analysis of LittleZen and Knockstiff(STOX-PokerStars). The author gives a lot of detail and explains things very well I think. Kinetica and 40Putts(STOX-FTP) have the same analysis done but in lesser wording since the author already explained the details twice in the LittleZen and Knockstiff analysis.

I think some of the more math savvy guys at StoxPoker (PHZON?, BRYCE?) will be looking into this in more depth and try to find leaks in the analysis… I sincerely hope they succeed… In any case, I think that right now almost everyone in the poker community thinks Nick Grudzien cheated and I am one of them.

This is really a sad day…

Well I played great today, but I think it was my worst day for bad beats. I put the money in a huge favorite and the fish would suckout.

Here is a graph that tells it all:

I should have won 301.27$ today instead of 18.70$…

Ah well… At least I know I played well… Even though I still need to lower my WTSD…

AA got cracked 4 times in a row, twice by KK, once by 78o and another time by J5o. KK got cracked numerous times also. I ran KK into AA 3 times and lost. QQ vs AK twice and lost both times. I flopped a set to lose to a runner runner. I flopped a set to lose to an turned overset. I lost a set to a 4 outer on the turn. I got quads with the most horrible and player on the table and he folded for the first time on the flop…

I am not sure I can handle this anymore. I am not on tilt per say. Just disgusted by it all. I guess I`ll come over it, but this last session really made me wonder…

I am loosing like crazy on Pokerstars and yet I am winning on FullTilt… I am not sure why.

Overall I have been losing money for the past two months. Still have a healthy bankroll. But I am disgusted by it all. I just hate losing money.

I just checked my Holdem Manager and AA is losing 94.70$ over 3.6k hands. KK is only winning 20$…

OK, so after my disastrous start I decided to drop down a limit. I am playing NL25 6max at the moment.

I am playing solid poker and I made 8 buy-ins today. I have not been running particularly good or hot. It seems that most of the time I put the money in the pot I am the favorite.

In the 5k hands I played today, I think I only went all-in twice when my instaincts were telling me to fold. Both time I had aces and could not let go. Gotta trust my instinct more.

In any case, I know I can still play the game but I will be watching a bit more of Stoxpoker videos…